ACC Standings Outlook 3/5

North Carolina

  • Current Record: 15-3
  • Remaining Games: vs. Notre Dame, at Duke
  • Highest Possible ACC Tourney Seed: 1
  • Lowest Possible ACC Tourney Seed: 2
  • Bye chances: Clinched the double bye.

If the Tar Heels lose to Notre Dame, then the Duke-Carolina game decides the regular season title. If the Tar Heels beat Notre Dame and lose to Duke, that would create a tie. The tiebreaker would come down to walking down the standings and ultimately would depend on who finishes at the top of the Syracuse/Wake/Pitt/Clemson group.

Duke

  • Current Record: 15-4
  • Remaining Games: vs. UNC
  • Highest Possible Seed: 1
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 2
  • Bye chances: Clinched the double bye.

Virginia

  • Current Record: 12-7
  • Remaining Games: vs. Georgia Tech
  • Highest Possible Seed: 3
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 5
  • Bye chances: Have not clinched a double bye. If they finish in a 3-way tie with Syracuse and Pitt, the Cavaliers will be the 5 seed.

Syracuse

  • Current Record: 11-8
  • Remaining Games: at Clemson
  • Highest Possible Seed: 3. If Syracuse, Virginia, and Pitt all finish 12-8, the Orange get the 3 seed.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 8 (I think – the tiebreakers are complicated)
  • Bye chances: The Orange have clinched a bye and have a shot at the double bye if they can beat Clemson.

Wake Forest

  • Current Record: 10-8
  • Remaining Games: vs. Georgia Tech, vs. Clemson
  • Highest Possible Seed: 3. I think Wake wins a 2-way tie with Virginia. There may be other tie scenarios where they finish third.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 9
  • Bye chances: I believe Wake clinched a bye when NC State lost to Duke. Now the worst the Deacs could do is a 3-way tie for 8th place with NC State and Virginia Tech, and I think they would get the 9.

Clemson

  • Current Record: 10-8
  • Remaining Games: vs. Syracuse, at Wake
  • Highest Possible Seed: 3. Clemson gets the 3 seed if they, Virginia, and Pitt all finish 12-8.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 9. A 2-way tie with Virginia Tech at 10-10. Possibly other tiebreaker scenarios.
  • Bye chances: I believe Clemson has clinched a bye. At least I am not able to find a tiebreaker scenario where they get the 10 seed.

Pitt

  • Current Record: 10-8
  • Remaining Games: vs. FSU, vs. NC State
  • Highest Possible Seed: 3. Pitt wins a 2-way tie with Virginia at 12-8.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 10
  • Bye chances: I think they could still get the 10 and be playing on Tuesday. For example, if Pitt, Clemson, Virginia Tech, and NC State all finish tied for 7th at 10-10, then I think Pitt is at the bottom of that group on the tiebreakers.

Florida State

  • Current Record: 9-9
  • Remaining Games: at Pitt, vs. Miami
  • Highest Possible Seed: 5. It is possible for them to finish tied for 4th, but I don’t think they can win the tiebreaker. They could get the 5 in a 2-way tie with Clemson, or maybe a 2-way tie with Wake.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 10
  • Bye chances: Cannot get a double bye if I am reading the tiebreakers correctly. And could be playing on Tuesday if they lose their last two games.

NC State

  • Current Record: 9-10
  • Remaining Games: at Pitt
  • Highest Possible Seed: 7. A two-way tie with Clemson at 10-10 is one way this can happen. There may be others.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 11. Tiebreaker scenarios that involve Virginia Tech and Florida State generally turn out badly for the Wolfpack.
  • Bye chances: They need a) a win and a Virginia Tech loss or b) two VT losses to avoid playing on Tuesday.

Virginia Tech

  • Current Record: 8-10
  • Remaining Games: at Louisville, vs. Notre Dame
  • Highest Possible Seed: 7. They can finish tied for 6th but don’t have the tiebreakers.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 12, I think. Tiebreakers are complicated.
  • Bye chances: If they win two, they have a good chance to escape playing on Tuesday. If they win one, they need a lot of help.

Notre Dame

  • Current Record: 7-11
  • Remaining Games: at UNC, at Virginia Tech
  • Highest Possible Seed: 9
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • Bye chances: To avoid playing on Tuesday, they need to win their last 2 games, they need Virginia Tech to beat Louisville, and they need FSU or NC State to finish 9-11. They need Virginia Tech in their tiebreaker because they swept the Hokies (or will have, in this scenario).

Boston College

  • Current Record: 6-12
  • Remaining Games: at Miami, at Louisville
  • Highest Possible Seed: 10. BC wins a 3-way tie at 8-12 with Notre Dame and Virginia Tech.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • Bye chances: Playing on Tuesday.

Miami

  • Current Record: 6-12
  • Remaining Games: vs. BC, at FSU
  • Highest Possible Seed: 10. Miami wins a 3-way tie at 8-12 with Notre Dame and Virginia Tech.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • Bye chances: Will play on Tuesday.

Georgia Tech

  • Current Record: 6-12
  • Remaining Games: at Wake, at Virginia
  • Highest Possible Seed: 11. Tiebreakers are generally unfavorable for the Jackets.
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • Bye chances: Will play on Tuesday.

Louisville

  • Current Record: 3-15
  • Remaining Games: vs. Virginia Tech, vs. BC
  • Highest Possible Seed: 15
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 15
  • Bye chances: Will play on Tuesday.