ACC Standings Outlook 3/7

Had to make a couple of corrections in this version. This time I really do have the tiebreakers figured out. I think.

For the ACC Tournament, keep in mind that 10 seeds and below play on Tuesday; 5 seeds and below play on Wednesday; 1-4 seeds do not play until Thursday.

North Carolina

  • Current Record: 16-3
  • Remaining Games: at Duke
  • 1 Seed (64% chance) With: A win OR (Pitt win AND Clemson loss)
  • 2 Seed (36% chance) With: A loss AND EITHER Pitt loss OR Clemson win

Duke

  • Current Record: 15-4
  • Remaining Games: vs. UNC
  • 1 Seed (36% chance) With: A win AND EITHER Pitt loss OR Clemson win
  • 2 Seed (64% chance) With: 1) A loss OR 2) a Pitt win AND a Clemson loss

Virginia

  • Current Record: 12-7
  • Remaining Games: vs. Georgia Tech
  • 3 Seed (85.5% chance) With: A win OR a Pitt loss.
  • 4 Seed (14.5% chance) With: A loss AND a Pitt win

Clemson

  • Current Record: 11-8
  • Remaining Games: at Wake
  • 3 Seed (5.5% chance) With: A win AND a Virginia loss AND a Pitt win
  • 4 Seed (51.7% chance) With: 1) A win AND a Virginia win AND a Pitt win or 2) a Pitt loss
  • 5 Seed (42.8% chance) With: A loss AND a Pitt win

Pitt

  • Current Record: 11-8
  • Remaining Games: vs. NC State
  • 3 Seed (9% chance) With: A win AND a Virginia loss AND a Clemson loss
  • 4 Seed (34% chance) With: A win AND a Virginia win AND a Clemson loss
  • 5 Seed (26% chance) With: A win AND a Clemson win
  • 6 Seed (12% chance) With: A loss AND a Clemson win
  • 7 Seed (19% chance) With: A loss AND a Clemson loss

Syracuse

  • Current Record: 11-9
  • Remaining Games: none
  • 5 Seed (12% chance) With: a Pitt loss AND a Clemson win.
  • 6 Seed (45% chance) With: 1) a Pitt win AND a Clemson win OR 2) a Pitt loss AND a Clemson loss.
  • 7 Seed (43% chance) With: a Pitt win AND a Clemson loss.

Wake Forest

  • Current Record: 10-9
  • Remaining Games: vs. Clemson
  • 5 Seed (19% chance) With: A win AND a Pitt loss
  • 6 Seed (43% chance) With: A win AND a Pitt win
  • 7 Seed (2.7% chance) With: A loss AND a Virginia Tech loss AND a Florida State loss
  • 8 Seed (15.6% chance) With: A loss AND a Virginia Tech loss OR a Florida State loss BUT NOT BOTH
  • 9 Seed (19.8% chance) With: A loss AND a Virginia Tech win AND a Florida State win AND

Florida State

  • Current Record: 9-10
  • Remaining Games: vs. Miami
  • 7 Seed (25% chance) With: A win AND a Wake loss
  • 8 Seed (8% chance) With: A win AND a Wake win AND a Virginia Tech loss
  • 9 Seed (56% chance) With: 1) A loss AND an NC State loss OR 2) a win AND a Wake win AND Virginia Tech win.
  • 10 Seed (11% chance) With: A loss AND an NC State win.

NC State

  • Current Record: 9-10
  • Remaining Games: at Pitt
  • 8 Seed (2% chance) With: A win AND a Virginia Tech loss AND a Florida State loss
  • 9 Seed (13% chance) With: A win AND EITHER a Virginia Tech loss OR a Florida State loss BUT NOT BOTH
  • 10 Seed (85% chance) With: 1) A loss OR 2) a Virginia Tech win AND a Florida State win

Virginia Tech

  • Current Record: 9-10
  • Remaining Games: vs. Notre Dame
  • 7 Seed (10.6% chance) With: A win AND a Wake loss AND an FSU loss.
  • 8 Seed (60.5% chance) With: 1) A win AND a Wake win OR 2) A win AND a Wake loss AND an FSU win AND NC State win OR 3) a loss AND an NC State loss AND an FSU loss.
  • 9 Seed (24.8% chance) With: 1) A win AND a Wake loss AND an FSU win AND NC State loss OR 2) A loss AND EITHER an NC State loss OR an FSU loss BUT NOT BOTH
  • 10 Seed (4% chance) With: A loss AND an NC State win AND an FSU win

Boston College

  • Current Record: 7-12
  • Remaining Games: at Louisville
  • Highest Possible Seed: 11
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 13
  • 11 Seed (88% chance) With: 1) A win OR 2) a Notre Dame loss AND a Georgia Tech loss
  • 12 Seed (10% chance) With: A loss AND a loss by either Notre Dame OR Georgia Tech BUT NOT BOTH
  • 13 Seed (1% chance) With: A loss AND a Notre Dame win AND a Georgia Tech win

Notre Dame

  • Current Record: 7-12
  • Remaining Games: at Virginia Tech
  • Highest Possible Seed: 11
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • 11 Seed (6% chance) With: A win AND a Boston College loss
  • 12 Seed (55% chance) With: 1) A win AND a Boston College win OR 2) A loss AND a Georgia Tech loss AND a Miami loss
  • 13 Seed (33% chance) With: A loss AND a loss by either Georgia Tech or Miami BUT NOT BOTH
  • 14 Seed (6% chance) With: A loss AND a Georgia Tech win AND a Miami win

Georgia Tech

  • Current Record: 7-12
  • Remaining Games: at Virginia
  • Highest Possible Seed: 11
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • 11 Seed (5% chance) With: A win AND a Boston College loss AND a Notre Dame loss
  • 12 Seed (13% chance) With: 1) A win AND a loss by either Boston College or Notre Dame BUT NOT BOTH
  • 13 Seed (60% chance) With: 1) A win AND a Notre Dame win AND a Boston College win OR 2) A loss AND EITHER a Notre Dame win OR a Miami loss
  • 14 Seed (22% chance) With: A loss AND a Notre Dame loss AND a Miami win

Miami

  • Current Record: 6-13
  • Remaining Games: at FSU
  • Highest Possible Seed: 12
  • Lowest Possible Seed: 14
  • 12 Seed (22% chance) With: A win AND a Notre Dame loss AND a Georgia Tech loss
  • 13 Seed (6% chance) With: A win AND a Notre Dame loss AND a Georgia Tech win
  • 14 Seed (72% chance) With: A loss OR a Notre Dame win

Louisville

  • Current Record: 3-16
  • Remaining Games: vs. BC
  • The Cardinals are locked into the 15 seed.