Big Winners
- Kentucky blowing out Alabama
- South Carolina getting a much-needed win at Ole Miss
- Wake Forest finally getting that Quad 1 win they needed over Duke
Big Losers
- Michigan State losing at home to Ohio State
- New Mexico with a terrible home loss to Air Force, putting them back on the bubble
- Virginia, Texas A&M, Texas, and Utah with non-competitive losses to Quad 1-A teams
- Grand Canyon losing at home to Abilene Christian and saying goodbye to any hope they had of getting an at-large bid
Top Seeds
Purdue, UConn, and Houston are easy. The battle for the fourth #1 seed continues and Arizona‘s loss to Washington State brings Carolina back into the mix. I am staying with the Wildcats for now, but it’s very close. And don’t count Kansas out.
Bubble Watch
The way I see it, there is a pretty big drop off after the Seton Hall/Gonzaga/Wake Forest/Providence/New Mexico/Virginia group. I feel strongly that all those teams are in right now. After that? Pick two from Utah, Drake, Texas A&M, Villanova, St. John’s, Cincinnati, Colorado, and Ole Miss. I went with Utah and Drake, but I would find it hard to argue with any of those teams.
The Missouri Valley situation is interesting. Is it a two-bid league with Indiana State and Drake? Most of the experts don’t think so. I put Drake in as my last at-large team, not really because I like their chances, but everyone else in that group above is so flawed. Villanova, Texas A&M, and Cincinnati got blown out over the weekend. St. John’s has but two Quad 1 wins (same as Drake) in 11 tries. Colorado has but one. Ole Miss has lost five of six. Does anybody want this last spot?
ACC Watch
- Wake Forest got themselves in for now. They have two Quad 1 games left at Virginia Tech and home against Clemson. One of those should be enough to seal it.
- Virginia hasn’t scored 50 points in any of its last three games. They are still in primarily because of the ineptitude of the teams below them, but they had better beat Boston College on Wednesday.
- Pitt beat Virginia Tech to keep themselves relevant. At Clemson tomorrow night is a must win for them to have a shot at an at-large bid.
- Virginia Tech and Syracuse are probably toast for at-large bids. Even if they win out, I don’t think it will be enough.
- NC State still has a “mathematical possibility” if they win out, simply because of the strength of their remaining schedule. Of course, the probability of them winning out is somewhere around 0.5%. They actually have a better chance to win the tournament.
| Team | 2/23 Seed | New Seed | Recent Result (Opponents NET, Quad) |
| Iowa State | 2 | 3 | W 71-64 vs. West Virginia (NET 148, Quad 3) |
| Marquette | 3 | 2 | W 88-64 vs. Xavier (NET 64, Quad 2) |
| Creighton | 3 | 4 | L 80-66 at St. John’s (NET 44, Quad 1-B) |
| Auburn | 4 | 3 | W 97-76 at Georgia (NET 97, Quad 2) |
| BYU | 5 | 6 | L 84-74 at Kansas State (NET 73, Quad 1-B) |
| Kentucky | 6 | 5 | W 117-95 vs. Alabama (NET 6, Quad 1-A) |
| Utah State | 7 | 8 | Idle |
| Michigan State | 7 | 9 | L 60-57 vs. Ohio State (NET 66, Quad 2) |
| TCU | 8 | 7 | W 75-57 vs. Cincinnati (NET 45, Quad 2) |
| South Carolina | 8 | 7 | W 72-59 at Ole Miss (NET 75, Quad 1-B) |
| New Mexico | 9 | 11 | L 78-77 vs. Air Force (NET 265, Quad 4) |
| Florida Atlantic | 9 | 10 | L 78-74 at Memphis (NET 79, Quad 2) |
| Texas | 9 | 10 | L 86-67 at Kansas (NET 14, Quad 1-A) |
| Northwestern | 9 | 8 | W 76-62 vs. Michigan (NET 120, Quad 3) |
| Colorado State | 10 | 9 | L 66-60 at UNLV (NET 81, Quad 2) |
| Nevada | 10 | 9 | W 84-63 at San Jose State (NET 250, Quad 4) |
| Virginia | 10 | 11 | L 54-44 vs. North Carolina (NET 9, Quad 1-A) |
| Boise State | 10 | 9 | W 92-72 at Wyoming (NET 169, Quad 3) |
| Texas A&M | 11 | Out | L 86-51 at Tennessee (NET 5, Quad 1-A) |
| Grand Canyon | 11 | 12 | L 79-73 at Abilene Christian (NET 254, Quad 4) |
| Utah | 11 | 12 | L 89-65 at Colorado (NET 34, Quad 1-A) |
| Drake | 11 | 12 | L 91-77 at Northern Iowa (NET 119, Quad 2) |
| Providence | 12 | 11 | Idle |
| Ole Miss | 12 | Out | L 72-59 vs. South Carolina (NET 48, Quad 2) |
| Wake Forest | Out | 11 | W 83-79 vs. Duke (NET 10, Quad 1-A) |
| Indiana State | Out | 12 | W 88-73 vs. UIC (NET 179, Quad 4) |
| UC Irvine | 13 | 14 | L 92-88 at UC San Diego (NET 110, Quad 2) |
| Akron | 14 | 13 | W 83-70 vs. Kent State (NET 171, Quad 4) |
| Quinnipiac | 16 | Out | L 85-81 vs. Fairfield (NET 158, Quad 3) |
| Fairfield | Out | 16 | W 85-81 at Quinnipiac (NET 171, Quad 3) |
- Purdue, UConn, Houston, Arizona
- North Carolina, Kansas, Tennessee, Marquette
- Iowa State, Duke, Alabama, Auburn
- Creighton, Baylor, Wisconsin, Illinois
- San Diego State, Kentucky, Dayton, Clemson
- Florida, Texas Tech, BYU, Washington State
- St. Mary’s, South Carolina, Mississippi State, TCU
- Nebraska, Utah State, Oklahoma, Northwestern
- Michigan State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State
- Florida Atlantic, Texas, Seton Hall, Gonzaga
- Wake Forest, Providence, New Mexico, Virginia, Indiana State, Princeton
- Utah, Drake, James Madison, Grand Canyon
- McNeese State, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont
- UNC Wilmington, Akron, Louisiana Tech, High Point
- Oakland, Morehead State, Eastern Washington, Colgate
- Quinnipiac, Lipscomb, Southern, Merrimack, South Dakota St., Norfolk State
Last Four Byes: Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Wake Forest, Providence
Last Four In: New Mexico, Virginia, Utah, Drake
First Four Out: Texas A&M, Villanova, St. John’s, Cincinnati
Next Four Out: Colorado, Ole Miss, Pitt, Virginia Tech
And Then The Next Four After That: Iowa, Oregon, Richmond, Kansas State
And How About Four More for Good Measure: Butler, Memphis, Ohio State, Syracuse